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Near-misses, mitigation, and resilience a diskuzi na Schneierov? blogu -
Five ”Neglects“ in Risk Management. Rozebíraná p?tice je následující:
- Probability neglect – people sometimes don’t consider the probability of the occurrence of an outcome, but focus on the consequences only
- Consequence neglect – just like probability neglect, sometimes individuals neglect the magnitude of outcomes
- Statistical neglect – instead of subjectively assessing small probabilities and continuously updating them, people choose to use rules-of-thumb (if any heuristics), which can introduce systematic biases in their decisions
- Solution neglect – choosing an optimal solution is not possible when one fails to consider all of the solutions
- External risk neglect – in making decisions, individuals or groups often consider the cost/benefits of decisions only for themselves, without including externalities, sometimes leading to significant negative outcomes for others
